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Jerome Powell’s March 2025 Speech Decoded: What It Means for Mortgage Rates in Katy, Texas

On March 19, 2025, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stepped up to the mic, and while he didnā€™t directly say, ā€œHey, mortgage rates are doing this,ā€ he dropped enough hints for us to connect the dots.Ā  So, if youā€™re a homebuyer in Katy, Texasā€”or anywhere in the Houston suburbsā€”youā€™re probably wondering: What does this mean for my mortgage rate? Letā€™s break it down in a way that wonā€™t put you to sleep.

1. Inflation: Not Going Up = Mortgage Rates Staying (Kinda) Steady

Powell made it clear: inflation is not increasing right now. Thatā€™s good news because when inflation goes wild, interest rates usually follow like an overexcited puppy.

For you, the future Katy homeowner, this means weā€™re not seeing mortgage rates skyrocket overnight. But donā€™t get too comfyā€”things can change fast, so locking in a rate sooner rather than later might still be a smart move.


2. The Fed Is Not Selling Off Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Right Now

Okay, letā€™s get a little nerdy. The Fed owns a ton of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are basically big bundles of home loans. If they started dumping these onto the market, mortgage rates would likely shoot up because lenders would need to make loans more expensive to attract investors.

But Powell said, ā€œNope, not doing that right now.ā€ Thatā€™s a win for mortgage rates.

So, if youā€™re shopping for a home in Katy or anywhere in the Houston suburbs, this means rates arenā€™t getting a surprise hike because of Fed sell-offsā€”at least not today.


3. Tariffs Might Mess Everything Up (Because of Course They Might)

Powell also hinted that tariffs could delay rate cuts. How? Well, if tariffs raise the cost of goods, inflation could creep back up. And if inflation rises, guess what the Fed wonā€™t do?

Cut rates.

That means if you were hoping for a big drop in mortgage interest rates soon, tariffs might keep that from happening. Itā€™s like waiting for a discount on your dream home, only to find out the seller raised the price instead.


What This Means for Mortgage Rates in Katy, Texas

Alright, letā€™s connect the dots:

āœ… Inflation isnā€™t surging ā†’ mortgage rates probably stay steady for now.
āœ… The Fed isnā€™t selling off MBS ā†’ no sudden spikes in mortgage rates.
āš  Tariffs might slow rate cuts ā†’ donā€™t count on super-low rates overnight.

If youā€™re thinking about buying a home in Katy, Sugar Land, The Woodlands, Cypress, or any of the Houston suburbs, this all means you still have a window to lock in a solid mortgage rate before anything shifts.


Final Thoughts: What Should You Do?

Look, no oneā€™s got a crystal ball (except maybe Powell, and heā€™s not sharing). But hereā€™s what you can do to stay ahead of the game:

āœ” Talk to a mortgage pro NOW. The more you know, the better you can time your purchase.
āœ” Get pre-approved. If rates drop, great! If they rise, youā€™re locked in at todayā€™s lower rate.
āœ” Donā€™t play the ā€œwait and seeā€ game too long. Markets change fastā€”waiting could cost you.

Thinking about buying a home in Katy, The Woodlands, Cypress, Richmond, Sugarland, Pearland, Fulshear or anywhere in Houston or its surrounding suburbs?Ā  Now is still a great time to explore your mortgage options!Ā  ClickĀ HERE and letā€™s chat before Powell drops another speech and shakes things up again!


Final Pro Tip: If you’re waiting for rates to drop, you might be waiting forever. The best time to buy a house is when you can afford itā€”because rates go up and down, but home prices? They usually just go up.


Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any financial decisions.

With over a decade of experience in mortgage financing, Kory Small has been writing articles since opening his mortgage brokerage in January 2021. Originally from Louisiana, Kory has called Houston home for 24 years and serves Houston and the surrounding areas. With a knack for simplifying difficult concepts, Kory focuses on making the mortgage process simple and efficient. Known for clear communication and top-tier service, he works closely with clients and real estate agents to ensure smooth transactions ā€“ whether FHA, VA, Conventional, USDA, Jumbo, Non-QM loans (bank statements, DSCR, asset-based, fix-and-flip) or multiple down payment assistance programs across Texas. Outside of the mortgage world, Kory enjoys cooking using his original seasoning blends, producing music, and spending time with family.

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